Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.025972 0.027970 0.029979 0.032149 0.034423 0.036733 0.039254
2025-12-28 0.022615 0.025783 0.029090 0.032785 0.036786 0.040977 0.045684
2026-01-04 0.020244 0.024078 0.028186 0.032891 0.038102 0.043672 0.050050
2026-01-11 0.018305 0.022588 0.027286 0.032776 0.038972 0.045705 0.053532
2026-01-18 0.017150 0.021845 0.027095 0.033337 0.040489 0.048366 0.057635
2026-01-25 0.015855 0.020827 0.026493 0.033339 0.041296 0.050169 0.060725
2026-02-01 0.014726 0.019918 0.025942 0.033329 0.042029 0.051839 0.063624
2026-02-08 0.013727 0.019097 0.025434 0.033316 0.042710 0.053411 0.066384
2026-02-15 0.012793 0.018297 0.024899 0.033223 0.043258 0.054799 0.068906
2026-02-22 0.011974 0.017591 0.024437 0.033178 0.043830 0.056191 0.071416
2026-03-01 0.011087 0.016749 0.023762 0.032835 0.044012 0.057096 0.073336
2026-03-08 0.010154 0.015796 0.022906 0.032227 0.043836 0.057548 0.074697
2026-03-15 0.009119 0.014685 0.021838 0.031362 0.043372 0.057701 0.075772
2026-03-22 0.008764 0.014481 0.021938 0.031978 0.044754 0.060106 0.079583
2026-03-29 0.008235 0.014006 0.021656 0.032083 0.045480 0.061703 0.082417
2026-04-05 0.007667 0.013440 0.021225 0.031970 0.045913 0.062928 0.084793
2026-04-12 0.007385 0.013268 0.021310 0.032521 0.047183 0.065185 0.088433
2026-04-19 0.006930 0.012817 0.020993 0.032523 0.047737 0.066546 0.090972
2026-04-26 0.006504 0.012384 0.020681 0.032514 0.048263 0.067865 0.093457
2026-05-03 0.006107 0.011972 0.020377 0.032500 0.048772 0.069154 0.095903
2026-05-10 0.005712 0.011540 0.020029 0.032409 0.049166 0.070291 0.098156
2026-05-17 0.005358 0.011152 0.019725 0.032365 0.049612 0.071487 0.100481
2026-05-24 0.004945 0.010643 0.019224 0.032028 0.049653 0.072155 0.102137